H-10 - The exogenous terminal-catastrophe rate is not bounded below 1 per Gyr
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Properties9
type
hypothesis
id
H-10
state
active
question
How high could the exogenous terminal-catastrophe rate be, once observer-selection bias is corrected for?
statement
The exogenous terminal-catastrophe rate is not bounded below ~1 per Gyr at high confidence — the Tegmark-Bostrom bound fails, e.g. because its planet-formation-time modeling assumptions are wrong.