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EpiStack v1 — FLF competition

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analysis tests

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covid1

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hypotheses

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dropped

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H 3 SARS CoV 2 originated by natural evolution in a bat sarbecovirus reservoir

H-3 - SARS-CoV-2 originated by natural evolution in a bat sarbecovirus reservoir

Properties11
type
hypothesis
id
H-3
state
dropped
question
What is the evolutionary origin of SARS-CoV-2?
statement
SARS-CoV-2 arose by natural evolution and recombination within the wild bat (Rhinolophus) sarbecovirus reservoir — of which RaTG13 and the BANAL viruses are known members, the latter already binding human ACE2 — before spilling into humans.
source
S-11 - Zhou 2020 Nature - first report of RaTG13, SARS-CoV-2's closest known bat-coronavirus relative at the time
additional_sources
  • S-12 - Temmam 2022 Nature - BANAL bat coronaviruses from Laos are SARS-CoV-2's closest known relatives and infect human cells
locator
  • S-11: Discussion
  • S-12: Discussion
drop_reason
Not a competing answer to the run's question but a background claim compatible with every member of HC-1 — a naturally evolved bat sarbecovirus can spill over at a market or be collected and escape a laboratory — so it clusters nowhere; its only discriminating content (natural vs engineered genome) is already carried inside H-5's statement, where O-10/O-11/O-12 score it exactly once.
merged_from
  • H-4 - SARS-CoV-2 originated by natural evolution in a wild bat reservoir capable of infecting human cells
generalization_note
Widened from the RaTG13 clade specifically to the wild bat sarbecovirus reservoir generally, giving up the distinction between which known clade (RaTG13 vs BANAL) is the nearest relative; no curated observation makes that distinction a competing answer.

Graph View

Backlinks

  • H-4 - SARS-CoV-2 originated by natural evolution in a wild bat reservoir capable of infecting human cells
  • main report - Did SARS-CoV-2 first infect humans through natural zoonotic spillover or through a research-related incident
  • S-11 - Zhou 2020 Nature - first report of RaTG13, SARS-CoV-2's closest known bat-coronavirus relative at the time

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