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EpiStack v1 — FLF competition
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analyses
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covid
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evidence links
Folder: v1/analyses/covid/evidence-links
61 items under this folder.
Jul 23, 2026
E-1 - O-4 × HC-2 — two co-dominant lineages with a clean two-mutation gap
Jul 23, 2026
E-10 - O-31 × HC-3 — both lineages cluster near market
Jul 23, 2026
E-11 - O-32 × HC-3 — unlinked cases even closer than linked
Jul 23, 2026
E-12 - O-17 × HC-3 — market animal samples all negative
Jul 23, 2026
E-13 - O-18 × HC-3 — positives concentrated in wildlife wing
Jul 23, 2026
E-14 - O-19 × HC-3 — both lineages in west-wing environment
Jul 23, 2026
E-15 - O-20 × HC-3 — positives co-located with wildlife material
Jul 23, 2026
E-16 - O-28 × HC-3 — WHO animal samples negative, post-closure
Jul 23, 2026
E-17 - O-29 × HC-3 — positives at aquatic and cold-chain stalls
Jul 23, 2026
E-18 - O-33 × HC-3 — positives at a live-mammal stall
Jul 23, 2026
E-19 - O-39 × HC-3 — market tMRCA matches pandemic root
Jul 23, 2026
E-2 - O-5 × HC-2 — no genuine circulating A-B intermediate haplotype
Jul 23, 2026
E-20 - O-40 × HC-3 — virus co-located with raccoon-dog mtDNA
Jul 23, 2026
E-21 - O-41 × HC-3 — human mtDNA uncorrelated, wildlife correlated
Jul 23, 2026
E-22 - O-42 × HC-3 — live infected wildlife present at market
Jul 23, 2026
E-23 - O-50 × HC-3 — virus tracks fish and livestock not raccoon dog
Jul 23, 2026
E-24 - O-51 × HC-3 — raccoon-dog-rich samples virus-negative
Jul 23, 2026
E-25 - O-43 × HC-3 — wildlife trade present at Huanan
Jul 23, 2026
E-26 - O-44 × HC-3 — susceptible mammals sold live in volume
Jul 23, 2026
E-27 - O-23 × HC-3 — superspreading overdispersion base rate
Jul 23, 2026
E-28 - O-25 × HC-3 — Ebola venue amplified not originated
Jul 23, 2026
E-29 - O-26 × HC-3 — Ebola true source went unidentified
Jul 23, 2026
E-3 - O-6 × HC-2 — separately dated lineage A and B primary cases
Jul 23, 2026
E-30 - O-58 × HC-1 — RBD residues differ from SARS-CoV, match pangolin
Jul 23, 2026
E-31 - O-59 × HC-1 — computationally non-optimal RBD
Jul 23, 2026
E-32 - O-60 × HC-1 — polybasic furin cleavage site absent in relatives
Jul 23, 2026
E-33 - O-61 × HC-1 — O-linked glycans flank the furin site
Jul 23, 2026
E-34 - O-62 × HC-1 — backbone matches no known reverse-genetics system
Jul 23, 2026
E-35 - O-64 × HC-1 — pangolin CoV shares all six key RBD residues
Jul 23, 2026
E-36 - O-65 × HC-1 — idealised Type-IIS restriction map
Jul 23, 2026
E-37 - O-66 × HC-1 — even map, short longest fragment, conserved sites removed
Jul 23, 2026
E-38 - O-67 × HC-1 — silent mutations concentrated at restriction sites
Jul 23, 2026
E-39 - O-68 × HC-1 — closest full-genome relative is a wild bat virus
Jul 23, 2026
E-4 - O-21 × HC-2 — two-introduction Bayes factor cut by the erratum
Jul 23, 2026
E-40 - O-69 × HC-1 — wild BANAL RBDs match hACE2-contact residues
Jul 23, 2026
E-41 - O-70 × HC-1 — wild BANAL RBDs out-bind early SARS-CoV-2
Jul 23, 2026
E-42 - O-71 × HC-1 — wild unmodified bat virus infects human cells
Jul 23, 2026
E-43 - O-72 × HC-1 — no BANAL relative has a furin site
Jul 23, 2026
E-44 - O-73 × HC-1 — natural recombinant mosaic of wild bat sarbecoviruses
Jul 23, 2026
E-45 - O-74 × HC-1 — chimeric backbone-plus-RBD structure
Jul 23, 2026
E-46 - O-75 × HC-1 — rare doubled CGG-CGG codon and FauI site in the insert
Jul 23, 2026
E-47 - O-76 × HC-1 — out-of-frame furin-site insertion
Jul 23, 2026
E-48 - O-77 × HC-1 — no relative has a true S1-S2 insertion
Jul 23, 2026
E-49 - O-35 × HC-1 — WIV a designated executing partner in DEFUSE
Jul 23, 2026
E-5 - O-22 × HC-2 — asymmetric two-introduction likelihood inflated support
Jul 23, 2026
E-50 - O-36 × HC-1 — DEFUSE planned chimeras and hACE2-mouse testing
Jul 23, 2026
E-51 - O-37 × HC-1 — DEFUSE proposed inserting furin cleavage sites
Jul 23, 2026
E-52 - O-38 × HC-1 — DEFUSE planned chimeric-spike work
Jul 23, 2026
E-53 - O-47 × HC-1 — DOE low-confidence lab assessment
Jul 23, 2026
E-54 - O-48 × HC-1 — FBI moderate-confidence lab assessment
Jul 23, 2026
E-55 - O-49 × HC-1 — split low-confidence IC verdict
Jul 23, 2026
E-56 - O-52 × HC-1 — FBI director on-record lab assessment
Jul 23, 2026
E-57 - O-53 × HC-1 — classified low-confidence assessments, DOE independent reasoning
Jul 23, 2026
E-58 - O-26 × HC-1 — natural outbreak left reservoir unidentified (base rate)
Jul 23, 2026
E-59 - O-27 × HC-1 — nationwide search found no intermediate host
Jul 23, 2026
E-6 - O-1 × HC-3 — marginal, unstable market centrality
Jul 23, 2026
E-60 - O-54 × HC-1 — SARS-CoV-1 natural market spillover precedent
Jul 23, 2026
E-61 - O-57 × HC-1 — natural stepwise human-adaptation of a sarbecovirus
Jul 23, 2026
E-7 - O-2 × HC-3 — alternative landmark equally admissible center
Jul 23, 2026
E-8 - O-7 × HC-3 — declining early market-linkage fraction
Jul 23, 2026
E-9 - O-30 × HC-3 — cases cluster on market vs population null
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added after the FLF submission deadline